Subject: Anticipation and Empowerment
Date: 5/28/2005 10:25:45 A.M. Pacific Daylight Time
From: anonymous@................
To: IranPoliticsClub@aol.com
Anticipation and Empowerment
______________________________Â
Two issues:
 1. In Anticipation of a Specific Protest Date       Â
 2. Empowerment By Simple Tactics Â
___________________________________Â
 Â
1. In Anticipation of a Specific Protest Date:  Â
A few years ago, in anticipation of Tir 18th, protests erupted in Tehran and other major Iranian cities. In the days prior to Tir 18, the protests were larger than the original Tir 18 street protests. When these un-scheduled protests erupted, they were immediately (within 1-2 hours) were picked up by Los Angeles satellite TV stations. That year, on Tir 18th, nothing really happened.
The opposition should be ready to fully utilize the potential of protests, that may erupt on any day.   Â
    Â
A specific date may be chosen by the opposition, however, the actual Protest Combustion Day is likely to occur sooner in anticipation of the chosen date.
        Â
Everyone will know that on a specific previously chosen date by the opposition, martial law will be in effect and the situation may be controlled by the authorities.  Prior to the chosen day, however, the authorities cannot continuously enforce martial law. The increased anticipation before martial law is officially enforced, as previous times, is likely to result in a spontaneous street protests. Martial law cannot be enforced during an entire summer season. Security forces in Iran know and have acknowledged this fact. Â
        Â
The anticipation to the climax (foreplay to the regime's end), may turn out to be more effective than picking the specific date.  It does make sense to pick a protest day, however, any protests and sparks should be fully supported, which may occur at any time. When the wheels are set into motion, given the adequate climate, things will hopefully happen and opposition groups should not get too picky about an exact dates.
___________________________________Â Â
            Â
2. Empowerment By Simple Tactics:Â
By using simple tactics, segments of the population in Iran will feel more energized during upcoming protests. Cultivating simple ideas, before any protests, can help to create an atmosphere of empowerment within segments of the Iranian population.Â
             Â
Simple ideas such as creating city-wide road blocks can be cultivated by repetition, so that when spontaneous protests occur, they will be widely used. Telling the population via satellite TV, on the protest day, to start using road-blocks will be relatively ineffective. Repeatedly informing the viewers, months/weeks in advance, about the practicality and potential of city-wide road-blocks during protests will produce results. Â
  Â
When city-wide road-blocks are in place in Iranian cities when street protests are taking place, the populace will think that the mullahs have lost control of the protests and the city. People will think that the will of the people has over-come the abilities of the authorities.
                      Â
Many should be automatically associate street protests with setting up quick road-blocks.
      Â
This learned association, will only happen by repeatedly publicizing the effectiveness and practicality of setting up road-blocks.
   Â
Learned-helplessness in psychology is another way of describing depression: when one feels options are limited and the resulting in-action does not change the status quo. Â
___________________